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2009-12-22

Model Predictions

Model Towson Tigers Morgan State Bears Spread Result
Elo 91.7% 8.3% -
Bradley-Terry 66.0% 34.0% -
Margin 68.1% 31.9% -4.2 (11.2 off)
Efficiency 96.9% 3.1% -

Actual: Morgan State Bears +7 (87-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Towson Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Thornton 38 7-15 6-10 1-2 2 5 0 0 1 21 12 -
R. Nwankwo 38 9-17 0-0 1-4 9 0 0 5 2 19 14 -
C. Lee 35 4-11 0-0 6-8 3 0 0 6 2 14 10 -
R. Polk 25 5-7 1-2 1-2 5 0 1 0 0 12 11 -
B. Morris 21 1-2 0-0 0-2 2 5 0 0 1 2 6 -
T. Franklin 19 2-4 1-2 1-4 1 2 4 0 3 6 6 -
J. Smith 13 0-5 0-1 2-2 2 2 0 0 2 2 -1 -
I. Philmore 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
J. Brown 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
D. Brewster 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Morgan State Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Thompson 37 10-19 0-0 3-7 25 0 1 0 0 23 30 -
R. Holmes 35 6-20 0-9 8-8 4 0 1 0 3 20 2 -
D. Smith 34 2-5 0-0 3-4 4 10 1 0 4 7 13 -
D. Jackson 25 3-11 1-3 4-6 4 1 0 0 3 11 2 -
T. Smith 24 4-9 1-3 2-2 6 3 2 0 2 11 11 -
R. Stokes 21 3-4 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 0 6 9 -
J. Davis 11 3-7 1-3 1-2 2 1 0 0 0 8 4 -
S. Thomas 8 0-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -
J. Long 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter