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Michigan

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Michigan Wolverines, Michigan
Program History
Coach: John Beilein

2014 Team Stats (26 games)

74.2
PPG
67.0
Opp
+7.2
Margin
47.5%
FG%
41.5%
3P%
77.1%
FT%
31.3
RPG
13.8
APG
9.3
TO
-
Est. poss./game
76.6
Adj PPG
60.5
Adj Opp PPG
#13
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2013-2014
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1279 (#18) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1321 (#13) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +92 elo More → 1157 (#16) HCA +92 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +17.2 (#12) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → +15.6 (#14) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.813 (#28) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +26.1 More → 0.954 (#11) AdjNet +26.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +26.5 More → 0.955 (#11) AdjNet +26.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 76.6 | AdjD 60.5 More → 0.812 (#13) AdjO 76.6 | AdjD 60.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 73.6 | AdjD 63.6 More → 0.713 (#18) AdjO 73.6 | AdjD 63.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.871 (#10) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.858 (#11) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 89 | GP 37 More → 1350 (#9) RD 89 | GP 37

2014 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2013-11-08 vs UMass Lowell River Hawks W 69 - 42
2013-11-12 vs South Carolina State Bulldogs W 93 - 59
2013-11-17 @ Iowa State Cyclones L 70 - 77
2013-11-21 vs Long Beach State Beach W 85 - 61
2013-11-22 @ Florida State Seminoles W 82 - 80
2013-11-24 vs Charlotte 49ers L 61 - 63
2013-11-29 vs Coppin State Eagles W 87 - 45
2013-12-03 @ Duke Blue Devils L 69 - 79
2013-12-07 vs Houston Christian Huskies W 107 - 53
2013-12-14 vs Arizona Wildcats L 70 - 72
2013-12-21 vs Stanford Cardinal W 68 - 65
2013-12-28 vs Holy Cross Crusaders W 88 - 66
2014-01-02 @ Minnesota Golden Gophers W 63 - 60
2014-01-05 vs Northwestern Wildcats W 74 - 51
2014-01-09 @ Nebraska Cornhuskers W 71 - 70
2014-01-14 vs Penn State Nittany Lions W 80 - 67
2014-01-18 @ Wisconsin Badgers W 77 - 70
2014-01-22 vs Iowa Hawkeyes W 75 - 67
2014-01-25 @ Michigan State Spartans W 80 - 75
2014-01-30 vs Purdue Boilermakers W 75 - 66
2014-02-02 @ Indiana Hoosiers L 52 - 63
2014-02-05 vs Nebraska Cornhuskers W 79 - 50
2014-02-08 @ Iowa Hawkeyes L 67 - 85
2014-02-11 @ Ohio State Buckeyes W 70 - 60
2014-02-16 vs Wisconsin Badgers L 62 - 75
2014-02-23 vs Michigan State Spartans W 79 - 70
2014-02-26 @ Purdue Boilermakers W 77 - 76
2014-03-01 vs Minnesota Golden Gophers W 66 - 56
2014-03-04 @ Illinois Fighting Illini W 84 - 53
2014-03-08 vs Indiana Hoosiers W 84 - 80
2014-03-14 vs Illinois Fighting Illini W 64 - 63
2014-03-15 vs Ohio State Buckeyes W 72 - 69
2014-03-16 vs Michigan State Spartans L 55 - 69
2014-03-20 vs Wofford Terriers W 57 - 40
2014-03-22 vs Texas Longhorns W 79 - 65
2014-03-28 vs Tennessee Volunteers W 73 - 71
2014-03-30 vs Kentucky Wildcats L 72 - 75

2014 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Nik Stauskas Nik Stauskas G 32 35.5 17.4 2.8 3.2 0.6 0.3 1.9 9.8 12.6 249 32 7.8 9.2 47.1 45.9 83.2 2.66 73.4 59.6
Caris LeVert Caris LeVert C 33 34.2 13.6 4.6 2.9 1.2 0.2 1.7 9.2 11.6 296 33 9.0 11.0 43.9 43.8 79.2 4.75 65.0 52.6
G. Robinson III G. Robinson III F 33 32.0 12.7 4.4 1.2 1.0 0.3 1.3 8.8 9.5 251 33 7.6 9.6 46.6 30.1 78.5 0.53 64.3 50.9
Mitch McGary Mitch McGary F 7 25.0 9.7 8.9 1.7 2.1 0.9 1.6 6.7 15.0 38 7 5.4 10.0 55.3 0.0 55.6 1.17 61.9 55.3
D. Walton Jr. D. Walton Jr. G 33 27.2 7.9 3.2 3.0 0.6 0.0 1.5 5.2 8.1 208 33 6.3 9.9 42.8 43.8 80.9 0.72 64.6 54.0
Zak Irvin Zak Irvin G 33 15.8 7.0 1.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.4 4.6 4.0 48 33 1.5 4.4 47.0 45.1 73.3 -1.94 73.0 63.9
Jordan Morgan Jordan Morgan F 33 20.5 6.4 5.2 0.6 0.4 0.5 0.8 3.3 8.8 160 33 4.8 10.2 70.0 0 58.8 2.25 79.7 70.0
Jon Horford Jon Horford C 33 13.7 3.6 4.1 0.5 0.2 0.6 0.5 2.3 6.2 123 33 3.7 11.6 59.2 0.0 62.5 1.52 71.7 59.2
Spike Albrecht Spike Albrecht G 33 14.2 3.0 1.1 1.9 0.5 0.0 0.4 2.1 4.1 86 33 2.6 7.9 37.7 33.3 81.0 1.73 63.9 47.8
Cole McConnell Cole McConnell G 4 2.5 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.5 - - - - 33.3 33.3 50.0 -0.17 51.5 50.0
Max Bielfeldt Max Bielfeldt F 17 4.4 0.7 1.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.8 1.0 2 17 0.1 1.1 35.7 28.6 0 -1.44 42.9 42.9
Sean Lonergan Sean Lonergan F 10 2.1 0.6 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 6 11 0.5 11.9 25.0 0.0 100.0 -0.68 61.5 25.0
Andrew Dakich Andrew Dakich G 11 2.0 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.6 6 12 0.5 11.1 33.3 100.0 0 -0.7 50.0 50.0
Brad Anlauf Brad Anlauf F 7 2.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 1 8 0.1 2.6 50.0 0 0 -1.21 50.0 50.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG