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2014-03-08

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Hoosiers Michigan Wolverines Spread Result
Elo 22.1% 77.9% -
Bradley-Terry 37.4% 62.6% -
Margin 25.8% 74.2% +5.8 (1.8 off)
Pythagorean 30.4% 69.6% -
Efficiency 16.4% 83.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 21.0% 79.0% -
Log Adjusted 20.9% 79.1% -

Actual: Michigan Wolverines +4 (84-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Hoosiers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Y. Ferrell * 39 5-10 4-8 2-2 2 8 0 0 4 16 12 -
W. Sheehey * 34 7-12 2-5 1-2 3 2 0 0 4 17 6 -
S. Robinson * 29 2-7 0-1 9-9 3 3 0 0 2 13 10 -
T. Williams * 27 8-9 0-0 0-1 2 1 1 0 2 16 9 -
D. Davis * 25 4-4 0-0 1-1 6 0 1 0 0 9 12 -
N. Vonleh 21 2-5 1-4 2-2 8 0 0 2 1 7 11 -
J. Hollowell 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 2 4 -
E. Gordon 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 0 -1 -
A. Etherington 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Howard 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. LeVert * 38 5-11 1-2 2-2 4 2 2 0 0 13 10 -
G. Robinson III * 37 6-13 1-3 7-8 2 2 1 0 1 20 11 -
N. Stauskas * 35 6-13 1-4 8-9 2 2 0 1 1 21 12 -
J. Morgan * 29 7-8 0-0 1-2 10 0 2 1 2 15 18 -
D. Walton Jr. * 25 1-4 0-2 2-2 0 4 1 0 0 4 5 -
S. Albrecht 15 0-2 0-1 4-4 0 3 0 0 0 4 5 -
J. Horford 11 1-2 0-0 2-2 6 0 0 0 0 4 8 -
Z. Irvin 10 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 0 1 1 0 3 2 -

* = starter