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2014-02-26

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Purdue Boilermakers Spread Result
Elo 24.1% 75.9% -
Bradley-Terry 38.8% 61.2% -
Margin 25.5% 74.5% +5.9 (6.9 off)
Pythagorean 70.9% 29.1% -
Efficiency 86.4% 13.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 81.6% 18.4% -
Log Adjusted 81.5% 18.5% -

Actual: Purdue Boilermakers -1 (76-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Stauskas * 41 5-18 0-4 5-7 2 3 0 0 2 15 0 -
C. LeVert * 41 4-12 2-5 4-4 7 4 1 0 1 14 13 -
G. Robinson III * 39 7-11 0-1 3-4 8 3 0 0 1 17 16 -
J. Morgan * 33 6-8 0-0 1-3 9 3 2 1 0 13 20 -
D. Walton Jr. * 24 2-6 2-6 2-4 4 1 1 0 2 8 6 -
S. Albrecht 21 1-5 0-3 0-0 0 4 2 0 1 2 2 -
Z. Irvin 15 2-4 2-4 2-3 1 1 0 0 0 8 6 -
J. Horford 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 2 -

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Johnson * 41 7-14 4-8 4-4 4 3 0 0 3 22 12 -
R. Johnson * 41 9-15 1-3 2-2 4 7 2 0 4 21 15 -
R. Davis * 37 2-10 0-2 6-6 10 3 0 0 0 10 13 -
A. Hammons * 31 4-7 0-0 3-3 6 0 1 3 2 11 12 -
K. Stephens * 27 3-11 2-9 2-3 4 0 0 0 0 10 3 -
B. Smotherman 19 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 3 -
E. Peck 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 -
B. Scott 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
T. Carroll 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter