Model Predictions
| Model | Kentucky Wildcats | Michigan Wolverines | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.5% | 50.5% | +0.1 | ✗ (3.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan Wolverines -3 (72-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Harrison * | 37 | 3-12 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 1 | - |
| J. Young * | 36 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - |
| J. Randle * | 32 | 7-16 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| A. Harrison * | 30 | 4-8 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | - |
| D. Johnson * | 21 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 5 | - |
| A. Poythress | 18 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| M. Lee | 15 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| D. Hawkins | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Stauskas * | 39 | 6-14 | 2-7 | 10-11 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 11 | - |
| G. Robinson III * | 37 | 6-14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 6 | - |
| D. Walton Jr. * | 33 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| C. LeVert * | 31 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| J. Morgan * | 22 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| J. Horford | 14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Z. Irvin | 13 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| S. Albrecht | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Bielfeldt | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter