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2014-01-30

Model Predictions

Model Purdue Boilermakers Michigan Wolverines Spread Result
Elo 61.2% 38.8% -
Bradley-Terry 47.0% 53.0% -
Margin 50.6% 49.4% -0.1 (9.1 off)
Pythagorean 23.1% 76.9% -
Efficiency 7.6% 92.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 12.4% 87.6% -
Log Adjusted 12.5% 87.5% -

Actual: Michigan Wolverines +9 (75-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Hammons * 29 7-14 0-0 2-4 8 0 1 0 1 16 10 -
B. Smotherman * 28 1-3 0-2 3-3 4 2 0 0 1 5 7 -
T. Johnson * 28 2-6 0-1 0-0 3 2 1 0 2 4 2 -
R. Johnson * 21 5-9 0-2 1-2 3 3 1 0 1 11 8 -
R. Davis * 8 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 2 2 -
S. Carter 25 1-6 0-1 0-0 3 2 2 1 1 2 3 -
B. Scott 22 5-12 0-1 2-4 3 1 2 0 4 12 2 -
E. Peck 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
K. Stephens 10 2-7 2-5 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 6 1 -
T. Carroll 10 2-2 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
S. Toyra 6 2-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 2 -

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. LeVert * 37 5-11 1-2 3-4 11 2 3 2 4 14 17 -
G. Robinson III * 36 3-6 1-3 1-2 3 0 1 0 1 8 5 -
N. Stauskas * 35 5-10 1-3 5-6 1 3 0 3 4 16 9 -
D. Walton Jr. * 34 6-7 2-3 0-1 3 3 2 0 2 14 13 -
J. Morgan * 27 4-6 0-0 3-4 6 0 1 1 3 11 10 -
J. Horford 12 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 4 7 -
Z. Irvin 12 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 3 0 -
S. Albrecht 7 2-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 5 3 -

* = starter