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2014-03-15

Model Predictions

Model Ohio State Buckeyes Michigan Wolverines Spread Result
Elo 26.4% 73.6% -
Bradley-Terry 44.6% 55.4% -
Margin 32.1% 67.9% +4.1 (1.1 off)
Pythagorean 48.6% 51.4% -
Efficiency 70.6% 29.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 41.6% 58.4% -
Log Adjusted 41.6% 58.4% -

Actual: Michigan Wolverines +3 (72-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Ross * 34 7-16 0-5 5-6 6 0 1 1 2 19 9 -
A. Craft * 31 4-7 1-2 0-2 7 6 1 0 4 9 12 -
L. Smith Jr. * 29 1-7 0-4 1-2 4 2 3 0 1 3 4 -
S. Thompson * 24 5-7 1-1 0-0 3 2 1 1 1 11 10 -
A. Williams * 20 2-4 0-0 2-2 3 0 1 0 0 6 6 -
S. Scott 32 7-10 4-6 0-0 5 6 3 0 2 18 20 -
T. McDonald 17 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
A. Della Valle 8 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -
M. Loving 5 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 3 -

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. LeVert * 37 6-9 2-4 3-5 8 2 0 0 4 17 14 -
G. Robinson III * 36 4-8 1-2 2-2 2 1 3 2 1 11 10 -
N. Stauskas * 34 6-12 4-8 2-3 1 1 1 0 2 18 7 -
J. Morgan * 30 3-4 0-0 2-7 5 3 0 0 0 8 12 -
D. Walton Jr. * 29 3-6 2-3 0-0 5 4 2 0 3 8 10 -
Z. Irvin 13 2-3 2-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 6 5 -
S. Albrecht 11 1-4 1-3 1-2 0 1 1 0 1 4 1 -
J. Horford 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 1 1 0 2 -

* = starter