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2014-01-18

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Wisconsin Badgers Spread Result
Elo 48.5% 51.5% -
Bradley-Terry 55.6% 44.4% -
Margin 37.0% 63.0% +2.9 (9.9 off)
Pythagorean 44.1% 55.9% -
Efficiency 15.3% 84.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 40.0% 60.0% -
Log Adjusted 39.9% 60.1% -

Actual: Wisconsin Badgers -7 (70-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. LeVert * 38 7-15 3-3 3-3 7 4 4 0 4 20 16 -
N. Stauskas * 37 7-17 3-9 6-6 4 4 1 2 2 23 15 -
G. Robinson III * 31 6-8 0-0 2-2 0 1 0 0 2 14 5 -
D. Walton Jr. * 31 1-3 0-0 0-1 2 2 0 0 0 2 3 -
J. Morgan * 21 3-3 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 3 1 6 14 -
J. Horford 17 3-3 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 2 2 6 10 -
Z. Irvin 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
S. Albrecht 10 1-2 1-1 1-2 0 0 1 0 0 4 3 -
M. Bielfeldt 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Gasser * 38 4-7 4-5 4-5 1 0 0 0 2 16 8 -
S. Dekker * 37 5-13 0-3 0-0 10 1 0 0 1 10 7 -
B. Brust * 36 5-10 2-4 2-2 8 1 1 0 1 14 13 -
T. Jackson * 34 3-11 0-2 1-2 3 5 1 0 2 7 3 -
F. Kaminsky * 29 6-12 1-3 1-1 4 3 0 2 2 14 9 -
N. Hayes-Davis 16 2-4 0-0 3-4 2 1 1 0 1 7 6 -
D. Dukan 6 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 1 -
B. Koenig 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter