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2014-02-16

Model Predictions

Model Wisconsin Badgers Michigan Wolverines Spread Result
Elo 34.7% 65.3% -
Bradley-Terry 31.0% 69.0% -
Margin 37.3% 62.7% +2.8 (15.8 off)
Pythagorean 49.9% 50.1% -
Efficiency 78.7% 21.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 54.0% 46.0% -
Log Adjusted 54.1% 45.9% -

Actual: Michigan Wolverines -13 (62-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Jackson * 37 1-6 0-0 7-8 3 6 1 0 0 9 13 -
B. Brust * 36 3-11 1-7 0-0 9 0 1 0 0 7 6 -
J. Gasser * 33 3-5 3-4 4-4 2 2 0 0 0 13 12 -
S. Dekker * 31 6-10 2-2 1-2 9 0 0 1 1 15 14 -
F. Kaminsky * 29 11-16 1-2 2-3 11 0 1 1 0 25 22 -
N. Hayes-Davis 20 1-6 0-0 2-4 0 0 2 0 1 4 -1 -
B. Koenig 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Dukan 4 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. LeVert * 39 7-13 5-6 6-6 6 0 0 0 2 25 16 -
D. Walton Jr. * 33 0-6 0-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 0 -3 -
G. Robinson III * 32 5-9 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 10 3 -
N. Stauskas * 32 4-11 0-2 3-4 3 2 0 0 3 11 2 -
J. Morgan * 29 2-3 0-0 1-1 5 2 0 0 0 5 9 -
Z. Irvin 18 1-7 1-5 3-3 0 0 0 0 0 6 -1 -
J. Horford 9 1-1 0-0 1-2 6 0 0 0 1 3 7 -
S. Albrecht 8 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -

* = starter