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2013-12-03

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 32.3% 67.7% -
Bradley-Terry 27.6% 72.4% -
Margin 20.1% 79.9% +7.6 (2.4 off)
Pythagorean 40.7% 59.3% -
Efficiency 13.5% 86.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 20.9% 79.1% -
Log Adjusted 20.9% 79.1% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +10 (79-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. LeVert * 36 8-18 1-3 7-7 4 2 0 0 1 24 11 -
N. Stauskas * 34 0-2 0-1 4-6 3 4 1 0 3 4 7 -
G. Robinson III * 34 4-9 0-2 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 8 2 -
M. McGary * 27 6-10 0-0 3-4 14 1 0 0 1 15 19 -
D. Walton Jr. * 26 3-6 0-2 1-1 2 1 0 0 3 7 1 -
Z. Irvin 14 2-5 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 5 2 -
S. Albrecht 13 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 3 1 -
J. Morgan 10 1-2 0-0 1-1 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
J. Horford 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Hood * 38 5-13 2-6 2-2 5 2 0 1 2 14 7 -
Q. Cook * 37 6-11 2-7 10-10 4 9 2 0 2 24 26 -
J. Parker * 33 7-14 0-2 1-2 6 0 0 0 1 15 6 -
J. Hairston * 21 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 1 -
T. Thornton * 20 2-4 2-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 6 4 -
M. Jones 18 0-4 0-2 2-2 3 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
A. Jefferson 17 3-3 0-0 0-0 6 2 1 1 0 6 13 -
A. Dawkins 10 3-3 2-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 8 6 -
M. Plumlee 6 1-1 0-0 0-2 3 0 0 1 0 2 5 -

* = starter