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2014-03-04

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Illinois Fighting Illini Spread Result
Elo 33.7% 66.3% -
Bradley-Terry 57.0% 43.0% -
Margin 41.0% 59.0% +2.0 (33.0 off)
Pythagorean 70.9% 29.1% -
Efficiency 85.4% 14.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 85.4% 14.6% -
Log Adjusted 85.5% 14.5% -

Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini -31 (53-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Robinson III * 34 5-9 1-3 2-2 5 1 2 0 2 13 10 -
N. Stauskas * 31 8-11 7-9 1-2 2 2 0 0 0 24 17 -
D. Walton Jr. * 26 2-5 1-1 4-4 7 5 1 0 0 9 17 -
C. LeVert * 26 5-9 2-3 3-6 4 1 1 0 2 15 10 -
J. Morgan * 7 2-4 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 4 1 -
J. Horford 28 1-3 0-0 0-0 10 1 0 1 0 2 11 -
Z. Irvin 22 3-6 3-5 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 9 5 -
S. Albrecht 15 2-2 2-2 0-0 1 3 0 0 2 6 6 -
M. Bielfeldt 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
S. Lonergan 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
A. Dakich 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Anlauf 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Nunn * 34 6-10 1-4 1-2 1 0 1 0 2 14 4 -
R. Rice * 32 5-12 1-5 5-6 9 3 0 0 2 16 14 -
N. Egwu * 31 3-7 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 0 6 5 -
T. Abrams * 28 1-5 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 2 -1 -
M. Hill * 27 1-5 0-2 1-2 1 1 0 0 1 3 -1 -
J. Ekey 21 2-6 0-3 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 4 3 -
J. Bertrand 9 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -2 -
M. Morgan 9 1-2 0-0 4-6 1 0 1 0 0 6 6 -
M. La Tulip 7 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -
A. Colbert 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter