Indiana Fever
2013 Team Stats (38 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 950 (#8) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 971 (#8) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 984 (#6) | HCA +48 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +0.1 (#6) | HCA +3.2 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +0.2 (#6) | HCA +2.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.530 (#4) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.513 (#6) | AdjNet +0.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.514 (#6) | AdjNet +0.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.504 (#6) | AdjO 69.2 | AdjD 69.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.507 (#6) | AdjO 70.3 | AdjD 70.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.486 (#7) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.487 (#7) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 978 (#7) | RD 88 | GP 38 |
2013 Schedule & Results
2013 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
M. Camby
|
- | 36 | 30.4 | 17.5 | 7.1 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 1.7 | 14.5 | 14.2 | - | - | - | - | 40.3 | 31.8 | 84.6 | - | 51.7 | 44.4 |
E. Thomas
|
- | 35 | 30.6 | 14.1 | 3.5 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 11.6 | 7.6 | - | - | - | - | 41.0 | 34.4 | 80.7 | - | 52.6 | 46.4 |
K. Douglas
|
G | 6 | 28.7 | 12.3 | 2.7 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 2.2 | 11.2 | 4.8 | - | - | - | - | 40.3 | 30.0 | 100.0 | - | 51.5 | 47.0 |
Briann January
|
Forward | 38 | 29.1 | 9.2 | 2.4 | 3.7 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 2.4 | 9.3 | 4.9 | - | - | - | - | 34.7 | 36.0 | 81.5 | - | 45.1 | 40.3 |
K. Christmas-Kelly
|
F | 40 | 27.1 | 8.8 | 4.3 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 8.1 | 6.8 | - | - | - | - | 37.8 | 30.3 | 81.1 | - | 48.3 | 42.9 |
E. Larkins
|
F | 40 | 29.9 | 8.0 | 7.9 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 1.5 | 5.7 | 12.3 | - | - | - | - | 53.5 | 0 | 74.5 | - | 58.7 | 53.5 |
E. Phillips
|
G | 23 | 21.4 | 5.8 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 5.5 | 3.0 | - | - | - | - | 34.9 | 42.2 | 78.3 | - | 48.9 | 45.6 |
S. Hunter
|
- | 32 | 14.8 | 5.2 | 4.2 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5.2 | 5.3 | - | - | - | - | 43.5 | 0 | 75.9 | - | 46.5 | 43.5 |
L. Clarendon
|
G | 36 | 19.1 | 4.8 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 5.9 | 1.7 | - | - | - | - | 35.1 | 31.2 | 43.3 | - | 38.1 | 37.4 |
J. Pohlen-Mavunga
|
G | 16 | 13.9 | 3.1 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 3.2 | 1.8 | - | - | - | - | 33.3 | 30.3 | 100.0 | - | 46.6 | 43.1 |
S. Goodlett
|
C | 27 | 8.2 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 2.5 | 1.5 | - | - | - | - | 38.2 | 0 | 75.0 | - | 41.6 | 38.2 |
J. Hassell
|
F | 23 | 8.1 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 2.5 | 0.3 | - | - | - | - | 26.3 | 0.0 | 42.1 | - | 29.1 | 26.3 |
S. Marion
|
- | 6 | 11.2 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 16.7 | 16.7 | 100.0 | - | 27.2 | 20.8 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2013 Shot Zones
2573 located field-goal attempts in 40 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
M. CambyE. ThomasBriann JanuaryK. Christmas-KellyE. LarkinsL. ClarendonS. Hunter
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 507-962 | 52.7 | 1014 | E. Larkins 21% (214 pts) | M. Camby 19% (194 pts) | E. Larkins 16% (75 misses) | M. Camby 16% (72 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 91-314 | 29.0 | 182 | S. Hunter 20% (36 pts) | M. Camby 16% (30 pts) | L. Clarendon 17% (39 misses) | K. Christmas-Kelly 15% (34 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 96-287 | 33.4 | 192 | M. Camby 28% (54 pts) | E. Thomas 21% (40 pts) | M. Camby 24% (45 misses) | E. Thomas 19% (37 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 42-121 | 34.7 | 84 | M. Camby 29% (24 pts) | S. Hunter 24% (20 pts) | M. Camby 30% (24 misses) | E. Thomas 20% (16 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 64-254 | 25.2 | 128 | M. Camby 25% (32 pts) | E. Thomas 20% (26 pts) | M. Camby 31% (59 misses) | Briann January 15% (28 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 26-65 | 40.0 | 78 | E. Thomas 31% (24 pts) | Briann January 27% (21 pts) | K. Christmas-Kelly 31% (12 misses) | E. Thomas 23% (9 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 19-43 | 44.2 | 57 | K. Christmas-Kelly 42% (24 pts) | E. Phillips 26% (15 pts) | K. Christmas-Kelly 25% (6 misses) | J. Pohlen-Mavunga 21% (5 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 72-219 | 32.9 | 216 | Briann January 26% (57 pts) | E. Thomas 25% (54 pts) | E. Thomas 24% (36 misses) | Briann January 22% (33 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 29-101 | 28.7 | 87 | M. Camby 59% (51 pts) | Briann January 14% (12 pts) | M. Camby 51% (37 misses) | Briann January 11% (8 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 67-207 | 32.4 | 201 | M. Camby 21% (42 pts) | E. Phillips 19% (39 pts) | M. Camby 20% (28 misses) | E. Thomas 19% (26 misses) |