Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.3% | 70.7% | +4.8 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +5 (84-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erlana Larkins * | 36 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 21 | - |
| Karima Christmas-Kelly * | 35 | 6-16 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Tamika Catchings * | 34 | 6-12 | 2-3 | 7-10 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 16 | - |
| Briann January * | 33 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Shavonte Zellous * | 25 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Erin Phillips | 20 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Layshia Clarendon | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Jasmine Hassell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jeanette Pohlen-Mavunga | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tiffany Hayes * | 35 | 8-14 | 3-6 | 4-5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 15 | - |
| Armintie Herrington * | 35 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 23 | - |
| Angel McCoughtry * | 35 | 6-14 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Jasmine Thomas * | 29 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Erika de Souza * | 29 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Alex Bentley | 23 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Aneika Morello | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Courtney Clements | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter