Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.9% | 59.1% | +2.0 | ✓ (15.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Fever +17 (80-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jia Perkins * | 31 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Jayne Appel Marinelli * | 28 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Shenise Johnson * | 27 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Danielle Adams * | 26 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Danielle Robinson * | 15 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Davellyn Whyte | 23 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Shameka Christon | 18 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Kayla Alexander | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Cathrine Kraayeveld | 9 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Chelsea Poppens | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shavonte Zellous * | 31 | 7-13 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Tamika Catchings * | 30 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 8-8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Erlana Larkins * | 30 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 16 | - |
| Briann January * | 25 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Karima Christmas-Kelly * | 13 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Erin Phillips | 23 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Layshia Clarendon | 22 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Jessica Breland | 16 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Jeanette Pohlen-Mavunga | 4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Sasha Goodlett | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
* = starter