Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 50.6% | 49.4% | -0.1 | ✓ (8.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Fever -9 (77-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angel McCoughtry * | 33 | 10-23 | 0-4 | 9-11 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 29 | 16 | - |
| Sancho Lyttle * | 33 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 21 | - |
| Jasmine Thomas * | 30 | 7-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes * | 28 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Erika de Souza * | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Alex Bentley | 22 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Aneika Morello | 17 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Le'coe Willingham | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Courtney Clements | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Douglas * | 38 | 6-14 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Briann January * | 33 | 4-11 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Erlana Larkins * | 33 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Tamika Catchings * | 33 | 8-18 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Shavonte Zellous * | 31 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Layshia Clarendon | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jessica Breland | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Karima Christmas-Kelly | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Sasha Goodlett | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter