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2013-07-11

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Lynx Indiana Fever Spread Result
Elo 68.1% 31.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 70.0% 30.0% - โœ“
Margin 63.9% 36.1% -3.1 โœ“ (3.9 off)
Pythagorean 53.9% 46.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 70.3% 29.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 70.4% 29.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 55.3% 44.7% - โœ“

Actual: Indiana Fever -7 (62-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Lynx

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Monica Wright * 39 9-19 0-1 4-4 9 4 3 2 2 22 19 -
Maya Moore * 36 3-12 0-3 3-4 5 2 3 1 1 9 7 -
Lindsay Whalen * 36 10-23 0-0 3-4 5 2 1 0 3 23 5 -
Rebekkah Brunson * 34 5-7 0-0 1-2 4 1 1 2 0 11 12 -
Janel McCarville * 23 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 0 0 4 7 -
Devereaux Peters 16 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 2 0 0 3 -
Rachel Jarry 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -
Sugar Rodgers 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
Amber Harris 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

Indiana Fever

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tamika Catchings * 33 2-10 0-3 5-5 10 3 5 1 3 9 15 -
Briann January * 31 3-11 0-3 1-1 0 4 0 2 2 7 0 -
Erlana Larkins * 31 5-7 0-0 1-1 5 3 0 1 1 11 12 -
Shavonte Zellous * 30 4-10 2-6 4-4 5 1 0 2 2 14 10 -
Karima Christmas-Kelly * 22 3-6 2-4 1-2 5 0 1 0 2 9 7 -
Erin Phillips 26 3-12 2-6 0-0 2 3 0 0 3 8 -2 -
Jasmine Hassell 11 1-4 0-0 1-3 3 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
Layshia Clarendon 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
Sasha Goodlett 3 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 -

* = starter