Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 50.6% | 49.4% | -0.1 | ✓ (13.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Fever -14 (53-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasmine Thomas * | 36 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Armintie Herrington * | 35 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Angel McCoughtry * | 34 | 10-21 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 16 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes * | 33 | 3-13 | 0-6 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Erika de Souza * | 27 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Alex Bentley | 17 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Aneika Morello | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Courtney Clements | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tamika Catchings * | 33 | 6-13 | 3-6 | 9-10 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 19 | - |
| Erlana Larkins * | 29 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Briann January * | 27 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Shavonte Zellous * | 26 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Karima Christmas-Kelly * | 25 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Erin Phillips | 25 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -3 | - |
| Layshia Clarendon | 16 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Jeanette Pohlen-Mavunga | 16 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
* = starter