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2013-09-29

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Dream Indiana Fever Spread Result
Elo 48.5% 51.5% -
Bradley-Terry 48.2% 51.8% -
Margin 42.5% 57.5% +1.7 (15.7 off)
Pythagorean 49.5% 50.5% -

Actual: Indiana Fever -14 (53-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Herrington 36 4-9 0-0 1-3 9 2 2 0 2 9 11 -
J. Thomas 36 3-9 0-1 0-0 5 1 0 2 3 6 2 -
T. Hayes 34 3-13 0-6 1-2 6 2 1 0 1 7 2 -
A. McCoughtry 34 10-21 1-3 6-6 4 3 3 2 2 27 16 -
E. de Souza 27 5-7 0-0 2-4 8 0 2 2 2 12 15 -
A. Bentley 18 1-8 0-2 2-2 7 1 0 2 0 4 6 -
A. Henry-Morello 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 2 3 -
C. Clements 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Indiana Fever

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Catchings 33 6-13 3-6 9-10 6 2 1 2 3 24 19 -
E. Larkins 29 1-5 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 0 3 2 2 -
B. January 27 1-7 0-2 2-2 5 2 0 0 1 4 3 -
S. Zellous 26 2-10 0-2 2-2 6 3 0 1 0 6 6 -
E. Phillips 26 2-6 0-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 4 -3 -
K. Christmas-Kelly 25 2-8 0-1 0-0 6 1 1 0 5 4 -1 -
J. Pohlen-Mavunga 16 1-7 0-5 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 2 -2 -
L. Clarendon 16 3-8 1-2 0-2 1 0 1 0 1 7 0 -

* = starter