Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 59.6% | 40.4% | -2.1 | ✗ (4.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +2 (82-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Douglas | 40 | 5-14 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 2 | - |
| L. Clarendon | 39 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | - |
| K. Christmas-Kelly | 37 | 8-19 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 12 | - |
| J. Pohlen-Mavunga | 34 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 15 | - |
| E. Larkins | 27 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-7 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 19 | - |
| J. Hassell | 26 | 3-11 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| E. Phillips | 22 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Greene | 42 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 13 | - |
| R. Montgomery | 39 | 6-15 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 6 | - |
| M. Bass | 37 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 17 | - |
| K. Griffin | 37 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 15 | - |
| I. Castro | 31 | 7-14 | 1-2 | 4-7 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 15 | - |
| S. Carter | 23 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -3 | - |
| K. Pedersen | 16 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
* = starter