Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.9% | 68.1% | +4.2 | ✓ (4.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +9 (89-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Catchings | 39 | 5-18 | 2-8 | 10-12 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 21 | - |
| S. Zellous | 38 | 5-16 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 6 | - |
| E. Larkins | 36 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 17 | - |
| L. Clarendon | 31 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 1 | - |
| E. Phillips | 24 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| J. Pohlen-Mavunga | 21 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | - |
| K. Christmas-Kelly | 21 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| J. Breland | 11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| J. Hassell | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. de Souza | 39 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 25 | - |
| J. Thomas | 39 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 3-6 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 7 | - |
| A. McCoughtry | 37 | 9-16 | 0-3 | 12-14 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 30 | 35 | - |
| L. Willingham | 32 | 3-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| A. Herrington | 30 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| T. Hayes | 20 | 1-9 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -2 | - |
| A. Bentley | 20 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| A. Henry-Morello | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter