Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.7% | 64.3% | +3.2 | ✓ (13.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +17 (75-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Phillips | 32 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| K. Christmas-Kelly | 31 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| T. Catchings | 30 | 6-15 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 13 | - |
| E. Larkins | 29 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| B. January | 24 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 2 | - |
| J. Pohlen-Mavunga | 21 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| J. Breland | 15 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -1 | - |
| L. Clarendon | 12 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Goodlett | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Taurasi | 37 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 6 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 21 | - |
| D. Bonner | 33 | 5-10 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 14 | - |
| B. Griner | 28 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 13 | - |
| C. Dupree | 24 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 11 | - |
| B. Butler | 19 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| A. Hornbuckle | 18 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -1 | - |
| C. Houston | 14 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| K. Thomas | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| L. Kizer | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. James | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
* = starter