Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.3% | 61.7% | +2.6 | ✗ (17.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Fever -15 (67-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Dupree | 37 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 10 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 36 | 9-19 | 4-11 | 4-6 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 15 | - |
| B. Butler | 34 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| D. Bonner | 34 | 7-15 | 2-6 | 8-10 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 26 | - |
| L. Kizer | 20 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| C. Houston | 17 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| K. Thomas | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - |
| S. Prahalis | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. January | 33 | 3-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | -3 | - |
| T. Catchings | 33 | 5-18 | 1-4 | 3-6 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - |
| S. Zellous | 33 | 10-13 | 6-7 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 29 | 18 | - |
| L. Clarendon | 32 | 3-12 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| E. Larkins | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - |
| K. Christmas-Kelly | 15 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| J. Breland | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| S. Goodlett | 8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| E. Thorn | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | - |
* = starter