Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 36.0% | 64.0% | +3.2 | ✗ (15.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Fever -12 (61-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalana Greene * | 36 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Tina Charles * | 35 | 13-17 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 30 | 28 | - |
| Kara Lawson * | 35 | 5-14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 1 | - |
| Allison Hightower * | 34 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Kelsey Griffin * | 26 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Mistie Bass | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Kelly Faris | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Ashley Walker | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Iziane Castro Marques | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shavonte Zellous * | 36 | 5-15 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 3 | - |
| Briann January * | 33 | 2-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Tamika Catchings * | 32 | 3-15 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Erlana Larkins * | 31 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Layshia Clarendon * | 25 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Karima Christmas-Kelly | 24 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Sasha Goodlett | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Jessica Breland | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter