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2013-08-03

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Sky Indiana Fever Spread Result
Elo 53.2% 46.8% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 41.9% 58.1% - โœ“
Margin 36.0% 64.0% +3.2 โœ“ (17.8 off)
Pythagorean 42.8% 57.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 42.1% 57.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 42.1% 57.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 41.4% 58.6% - โœ“

Actual: Indiana Fever +21 (79-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Sky

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tamera Young * 27 1-2 0-0 1-2 6 0 0 0 0 3 7 -
Courtney Vandersloot * 27 4-9 2-6 1-1 5 1 1 1 5 11 5 -
Epiphanny Prince * 26 3-12 1-5 0-0 1 2 3 1 2 7 0 -
Swin Cash * 23 2-7 1-2 1-2 3 2 0 1 1 6 4 -
Sylvia Fowles * 19 4-7 0-0 2-3 3 0 1 4 0 10 11 -
Shay Murphy 25 2-7 0-3 5-5 1 0 0 0 1 9 2 -
Avery Warley-Talbert 18 1-5 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 0 0 2 5 -
Allie Quigley 17 2-9 1-4 3-4 2 0 0 0 2 8 -1 -
Michelle Campbell 13 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 2 -3 -

Indiana Fever

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tamika Catchings * 28 4-12 1-2 8-10 10 1 5 4 1 17 24 -
Erlana Larkins * 26 1-4 0-0 7-8 10 2 0 1 1 9 17 -
Karima Christmas-Kelly * 24 5-8 2-4 0-0 5 2 4 0 1 12 14 -
Briann January * 24 3-10 1-1 2-2 3 2 0 0 2 9 2 -
Shavonte Zellous * 20 3-8 1-3 1-4 5 1 0 0 2 8 4 -
Erin Phillips 18 2-5 0-2 0-0 0 3 0 0 0 4 2 -
Jessica Breland 17 3-5 0-0 1-2 4 1 0 1 1 7 7 -
Jeanette Pohlen-Mavunga 16 2-3 1-2 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 7 5 -
Layshia Clarendon 15 3-5 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 6 3 -
Sasha Goodlett 7 0-4 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter