Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.9% | 68.1% | +4.2 | ✓ (11.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +16 (76-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Christmas-Kelly | 37 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 16 | - |
| S. Zellous | 34 | 6-14 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 10 | - |
| B. January | 33 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 6 | - |
| E. Larkins | 25 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| J. Breland | 25 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| S. Goodlett | 17 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| E. Thorn | 16 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Hassell | 13 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. McCoughtry | 30 | 6-10 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 15 | - |
| A. Herrington | 29 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| E. de Souza | 28 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 22 | - |
| T. Hayes | 23 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| J. Thomas | 20 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| A. Bentley | 20 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| L. Willingham | 19 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| C. Clements | 16 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| A. Henry-Morello | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| R. Riley | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Armstrong | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter