Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.3% | 70.7% | +4.8 | ✓ (11.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +16 (76-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karima Christmas-Kelly * | 36 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Shavonte Zellous * | 34 | 6-14 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Briann January * | 32 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Jessica Breland * | 24 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Erlana Larkins * | 24 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Sasha Goodlett | 17 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Erin Thorn | 15 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Jasmine Hassell | 13 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angel McCoughtry * | 30 | 6-10 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Armintie Herrington * | 29 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Erika de Souza * | 27 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 22 | - |
| Jasmine Thomas * | 20 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Le'coe Willingham * | 19 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes | 23 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Alex Bentley | 19 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Courtney Clements | 15 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Aneika Morello | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Ruth Riley | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Anne Marie Armstrong | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter