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Duke

Also known as: Duke Blue Devils, Duke
Program History

2022 Team Stats (25 games)

81.7
PPG
68.1
Opp
+12.3
Margin
49.8%
FG%
37.9%
3P%
74.0%
FT%
38.6
RPG
16.7
APG
10.2
TO
78.5
Pace

Model Outputs

2021-2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1618 (#8) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1585 (#4) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +45.3 (#2) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.784 (#7) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +19.2 More → 0.886 (#17) NetEff +19.2
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +18.3 More → 0.892 (#7) AdjNet +18.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +18.4 More → 0.893 (#7) AdjNet +18.4

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-11-09 vs Kentucky Wildcats W 79 - 71
2021-11-12 vs Army Black Knights W 82 - 56
2021-11-16 vs Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs W 92 - 52
2021-11-19 vs Lafayette Leopards W 88 - 55
2021-11-22 vs The Citadel Bulldogs W 107 - 81
2021-11-26 vs Gonzaga Bulldogs W 84 - 81
2021-11-30 @ Ohio State Buckeyes L 66 - 71
2021-12-14 vs South Carolina State Bulldogs W 103 - 62
2021-12-16 vs Appalachian State Mountaineers W 92 - 67
2021-12-18 vs Elon Phoenix W 87 - 56
2021-12-22 vs Virginia Tech Hokies W 76 - 65
2021-12-29 @ Clemson Tigers - Preview
2022-01-01 @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish - Preview
2022-01-04 vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets W 69 - 57
2022-01-08 vs Miami Hurricanes L 74 - 76
2022-01-12 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 76 - 64
2022-01-15 vs NC State Wolfpack W 88 - 73
2022-01-18 @ Florida State Seminoles L 78 - 79
2022-01-22 vs Syracuse Orange W 79 - 59
2022-01-25 vs Clemson Tigers W 71 - 69
2022-01-29 @ Louisville Cardinals W 74 - 65
2022-01-31 @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish W 57 - 43
2022-02-05 @ North Carolina Tar Heels W 87 - 67
2022-02-07 vs Virginia Cavaliers L 68 - 69
2022-02-10 @ Clemson Tigers W 82 - 64
2022-02-12 @ Boston College Eagles W 72 - 61
2022-02-15 vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 76 - 74
2022-02-19 vs Florida State Seminoles W 88 - 70
2022-02-23 @ Virginia Cavaliers W 65 - 61
2022-02-26 @ Syracuse Orange W 97 - 72
2022-03-01 @ Pittsburgh Panthers W 86 - 56
2022-03-05 vs North Carolina Tar Heels L 81 - 94
2022-03-10 vs Syracuse Orange W 88 - 79
2022-03-11 vs Miami Hurricanes W 80 - 76
2022-03-12 vs Virginia Tech Hokies L 67 - 82
2022-03-18 vs Cal State Fullerton Titans W 78 - 61
2022-03-20 vs Michigan State Spartans W 85 - 76
2022-03-24 vs Texas Tech Red Raiders W 78 - 73
2022-03-26 vs Arkansas Razorbacks W 78 - 69
2022-04-02 vs North Carolina Tar Heels L 77 - 81

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
P. Banchero P. Banchero - 38 33.0 17.2 7.8 3.3 1.1 0.9 2.3 11.7 16.2 - - - 47.4 33.3 72.5 - 63.0 51.6
J. Caldwell J. Caldwell G 1 33.0 16.0 7.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 29.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Wendell Moore Jr. Wendell Moore Jr. - 38 34.0 13.4 5.3 4.4 1.4 0.2 1.9 8.2 14.5 110 7.9 15.0 50.8 42.6 84.2 2.08 72.0 58.2
Trevor Keels Trevor Keels - 35 30.0 11.6 3.4 2.7 1.2 0.1 1.3 8.3 9.4 - - - 44.0 32.2 70.6 - 62.0 52.1
M. Williams M. Williams - 38 24.1 11.5 7.6 0.9 0.5 2.9 0.9 6.2 16.2 2 0.2 0.4 73.0 0 74.6 0.78 81.6 73.0
AJ Griffin AJ Griffin - 38 24.4 10.6 4.0 1.0 0.5 0.6 0.7 7.4 8.6 - - - 50.7 46.1 77.6 - 66.2 63.1
Jeremy Roach Jeremy Roach - 38 29.1 8.5 2.4 3.1 0.8 0.1 1.6 6.2 7.2 0 0.0 0.0 41.9 35.0 75.4 0.18 60.8 49.4
A. Duhart A. Duhart F 1 25.0 6.0 3.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 11.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
J. Baker J. Baker - 33 11.3 4.3 1.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.5 3.0 2.6 -44 -4.0 -5.7 41.4 36.7 76.0 0.64 64.5 52.5
B. Thiele B. Thiele G 1 3.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
T. John T. John F 37 11.3 2.9 2.5 0.4 0.5 0.9 0.5 1.7 5.0 - - - 61.9 0.0 63.6 - 73.6 61.9
B. Jones B. Jones F 26 5.5 1.5 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.2 1.3 1.7 - - - 36.4 28.6 100.0 - 56.1 48.5
M. Savarino M. Savarino G 11 2.3 1.1 0.5 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.7 - - - 44.4 50.0 0 - 66.7 66.7
J. Blakes J. Blakes G 20 4.4 1.1 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.4 1.2 0.8 - - - 29.2 33.3 0.0 - 43.0 39.6
K. Worthington K. Worthington F 9 2.7 0.3 1.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.4 - - - 50.0 0 25.0 - 39.9 50.0
Spencer Hubbard Spencer Hubbard - 3 2.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 8 0.7 2.0 0 0 50.0 0.62 56.8 0
S. Borden S. Borden - 1 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
J. Coleman J. Coleman G 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 -5 -0.6 -2.5 0 0 0 0.13 0 0
B. Kinker B. Kinker F 1 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
J. Scully J. Scully G 1 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
G. Thompson G. Thompson - 1 6.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Q. Pemberton Q. Pemberton - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG