Model Predictions
| Model | Florida State Seminoles | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.5% | 95.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.4% | 88.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.9% | 96.1% | +17.7 | ✓ (0.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 4.4% | 95.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.4% | 97.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.3% | 97.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +18 (88-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Warley * | 35 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 17 | - |
| M. Thorpe | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| I. Spainhour | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Moore Jr. * | 37 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 5-7 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 22 | - |
| T. Keels * | 34 | 5-11 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| P. Banchero * | 30 | 6-12 | 0-3 | 5-5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 15 | - |
| AJ Griffin * | 28 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 11 | - |
| M. Williams * | 19 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| J. Roach | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | - |
| T. John | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| J. Baker | 14 | 4-7 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| B. Jones | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Blakes | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| M. Savarino | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter