Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas Razorbacks | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.3% | 83.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.0% | 74.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.0% | 87.0% | +10.5 | ✓ (1.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 16.0% | 84.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +9 (78-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Umude | 35 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| JD Notae * | 35 | 5-14 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| J. Williams * | 34 | 8-17 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 14 | - |
| A. Toney * | 30 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| T. Wade * | 29 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| D. Davis | 28 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| C. Lykes | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| K. Johnson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Banchero * | 38 | 4-11 | 1-2 | 7-8 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 16 | - |
| W. Moore Jr. * | 36 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| J. Roach * | 35 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 1 | - |
| M. Williams * | 35 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 19 | - |
| AJ Griffin * | 26 | 7-9 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 12 | - |
| T. Keels | 25 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | - |
| T. John | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter