Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 7.5% | 92.5% | +13.8 | ✗ (14.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 4.1% | 95.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.3% | 92.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.1% | 92.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils -1 (68-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Shedrick | 24 | 8-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 14 | - |
| M. Poindexter | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Stattmann | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| K. Clark * | 38 | 4-11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| A. Franklin * | 38 | 4-13 | 1-6 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| J. Gardner * | 35 | 8-19 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 7 | - |
| R. Beekman * | 25 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| F. Caffaro * | 16 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Banchero * | 38 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11 | - |
| W. Moore Jr. * | 38 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| J. Roach * | 30 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | - |
| AJ Griffin * | 24 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Williams * | 19 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 16 | - |
| T. Keels | 27 | 3-11 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| T. John | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9 | - |
| B. Jones | 8 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| J. Baker | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter