Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Florida State Seminoles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 91.4% | 8.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 81.3% | 18.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 90.3% | 9.7% | -12.3 | ✗ (13.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 68.2% | 31.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 89.6% | 10.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 91.6% | 8.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 91.7% | 8.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Florida State Seminoles +1 (79-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Banchero * | 42 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 7-9 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 25 | - |
| W. Moore Jr. * | 38 | 5-7 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 8 | - |
| M. Williams * | 34 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 17 | - |
| T. Keels * | 29 | 3-11 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 1 | - |
| AJ Griffin * | 23 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| J. Roach | 29 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| J. Baker | 19 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| T. John | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| B. Jones | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Cleveland | 22 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| T. Ngom | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Mills * | 35 | 5-17 | 2-6 | 6-6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 7 | - |
| A. Polite * | 31 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| R. Evans * | 31 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| J. Butler * | 27 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - |
| N. McLeod * | 11 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| M. Osborne | 32 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| C. Fletcher | 16 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| J. Warley | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| W. Wilkes | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter