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2022-03-12

Model Predictions

Model Virginia Tech Hokies Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 11.5% 88.5% -
Bradley-Terry 16.2% 83.8% -
Margin 7.5% 92.5% +13.8 (28.8 off)
Pythagorean 44.5% 55.5% -
Efficiency 21.9% 78.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 24.7% 75.3% -
Log Adjusted 24.6% 75.4% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils -15 (67-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Virginia Tech Hokies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Aluma 33 6-8 1-1 6-9 10 7 1 0 2 19 27 -
S. Murphy 33 4-11 1-3 0-0 2 6 1 0 2 9 5 -
N. Alleyne 27 2-5 1-3 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 5 3 -
D. Maddox 23 3-10 0-3 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 6 1 -
D. N'Guessan 9 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
G. Ojiako 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
J. Mutts * 33 3-4 0-0 0-1 4 4 1 0 4 6 7 -
H. Cattoor * 32 11-16 7-9 2-2 4 1 3 0 0 31 23 -
S. Pedulla 6 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
B. Varga 1 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
C. Johnson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
L. Kidd 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Banchero * 37 8-11 0-1 4-7 5 1 0 1 2 20 14 -
W. Moore Jr. * 37 4-8 1-3 2-2 6 1 0 2 1 11 11 -
T. Keels * 36 1-7 0-4 4-6 4 4 0 1 2 6 6 -
AJ Griffin * 35 4-12 1-8 1-2 3 1 4 1 1 10 6 -
M. Williams * 19 3-3 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 1 0 8 10 -
J. Roach 24 3-5 1-3 2-4 1 0 0 0 3 9 2 -
T. John 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
J. Baker 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
K. Worthington 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Jones 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Blakes 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
M. Savarino 1 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

* = starter