🐻⬇️🏀

NC State Wolfpack 73
@
Duke Blue Devils 88
2022-01-15

Model Predictions

Model NC State Wolfpack Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 10.5% 89.5% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 18.2% 81.8% - ✓
Margin 8.1% 91.9% +13.3 ✓ (1.7 off)
Pythagorean 23.1% 76.9% - ✓
Efficiency 20.2% 79.8% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - ✓
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - ✓

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +15 (88-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Hellems 39 2-5 1-2 2-2 7 1 1 0 3 7 8 -
D. Seabron 39 7-17 0-0 2-3 10 2 2 0 3 16 10 -
T. Smith * 36 8-21 1-9 2-3 2 1 0 1 1 19 1 -
E. Dowuona * 27 5-11 0-0 0-2 9 1 0 1 0 10 10 -
T. Allen * 18 2-5 1-3 0-0 1 3 1 0 1 5 4 -
J. Gibson 12 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 4 5 -
C. Morsell 11 1-4 1-2 0-0 1 0 2 0 0 3 2 -
B. Pass 10 2-4 1-2 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 5 4 -
C. Hayes 8 2-6 0-1 0-0 0 1 3 0 3 4 -1 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Jones 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
T. Keels * 35 5-13 2-6 0-0 5 9 5 0 2 12 16 -
W. Moore Jr. * 33 6-8 0-0 3-3 4 1 1 0 4 15 9 -
P. Banchero * 32 8-11 0-0 5-8 8 4 1 1 4 21 20 -
AJ Griffin * 27 1-6 1-4 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 3 1 -
M. Williams * 27 9-12 0-0 1-3 11 2 1 8 1 19 28 -
J. Roach 23 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 4 0 0 0 2 6 -
J. Baker 12 2-5 1-3 1-4 2 1 0 0 0 6 4 -
T. John 11 4-4 0-0 2-4 2 0 0 1 0 10 9 -

* = starter