Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.3% | 21.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 86.8% | 13.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 91.4% | 8.6% | -13.0 | ✓ (4.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 70.1% | 29.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 89.9% | 10.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 93.3% | 6.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 93.3% | 6.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals -9 (65-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Roach * | 38 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| W. Moore Jr. * | 38 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| P. Banchero * | 37 | 5-15 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 14 | - |
| AJ Griffin * | 34 | 8-13 | 5-5 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 15 | - |
| M. Williams * | 23 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 15 | - |
| T. John | 13 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| J. Baker | 12 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| B. Jones | 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Williams * | 31 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 14 | - |
| D. Davis * | 23 | 7-13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 9 | - |
| N. Locke * | 19 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| M. Faulkner * | 17 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Curry * | 15 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | - |
| E. Ellis | 25 | 7-16 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 5 | - |
| J. West | 20 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Cross | 18 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| J. Withers | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| S. Williamson | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| R. Wheeler | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter