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2021-12-22

Model Predictions

Model Virginia Tech Hokies Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 11.5% 88.5% -
Bradley-Terry 16.2% 83.8% -
Margin 7.5% 92.5% +13.8 (2.8 off)
Pythagorean 44.5% 55.5% -
Efficiency 21.9% 78.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 24.7% 75.3% -
Log Adjusted 24.6% 75.4% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +11 (76-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Virginia Tech Hokies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Aluma 38 11-20 1-3 2-2 10 3 1 0 2 25 17 -
S. Murphy 35 3-8 2-5 0-0 0 4 0 0 1 8 3 -
H. Cattoor * 35 4-10 2-4 0-0 4 0 1 0 2 10 3 -
J. Mutts * 34 7-14 0-1 6-7 9 3 1 1 1 20 19 -
N. Alleyne * 28 0-4 0-3 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 0 0 -
D. Maddox 16 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 2 2 -
S. Pedulla 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 0 0 -
D. N'Guessan 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Moore Jr. * 39 6-9 2-2 4-4 6 4 0 1 3 18 17 -
T. Keels * 36 5-8 1-4 2-4 4 0 1 0 1 13 9 -
J. Roach * 36 3-8 0-2 0-1 3 0 3 0 1 6 3 -
P. Banchero * 34 9-20 1-4 4-4 7 3 1 1 4 23 11 -
M. Williams * 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 2 0 0 7 -
AJ Griffin 24 5-7 1-3 2-2 4 1 1 1 1 13 12 -
T. John 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
J. Baker 8 1-1 0-0 1-1 1 0 1 0 0 3 4 -
B. Jones 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter