Model Predictions
| Model | Texas Tech Red Raiders | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.5% | 60.5% | +0.7 | ✓ (4.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.9% | 55.1% | +1.1 | ✓ (3.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +5 (78-73). Ratings: 2021-22 season-end ratings.
Texas Tech Red Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Shannon Jr. | 35 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Bryson Williams | 34 | 8-16 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 12 | - |
| Davion Warren | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Daniel Batcho | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Mylik Wilson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kevin Obanor * | 38 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| K. McCullar * | 36 | 7-13 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Adonis Arms * | 36 | 6-12 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Marcus Santos-Silva | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Clarence Nadolny | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Griffin * | 37 | 3-9 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Paolo Banchero * | 37 | 7-12 | 3-4 | 5-6 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 20 | - |
| Jeremy Roach * | 35 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 10 | - |
| W. Moore Jr. * | 34 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Mark Williams * | 30 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Trevor Keels | 14 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Theo John | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Bates Jones | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter