Model Predictions
| Model | Texas Tech Red Raiders | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.4% | 80.6% | +7.8 | ✓ (2.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 74.7% | 25.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +5 (78-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas Tech Red Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Shannon Jr. | 35 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | - |
| B. Williams | 34 | 8-16 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 12 | - |
| D. Warren | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Batcho | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Wilson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Obanor * | 38 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| K. McCullar * | 36 | 7-13 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 7 | - |
| A. Arms * | 36 | 6-12 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 15 | - |
| M. Santos-Silva | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| C. Nadolny | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Griffin * | 37 | 3-9 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| P. Banchero * | 37 | 7-12 | 3-4 | 5-6 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 20 | - |
| J. Roach * | 35 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 10 | - |
| W. Moore Jr. * | 34 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| M. Williams * | 30 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 16 | - |
| T. Keels | 14 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| T. John | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| B. Jones | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter