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2021-11-30

Model Predictions

Model Duke Blue Devils Ohio State Buckeyes Spread Result
Elo 68.3% 31.7% -
Bradley-Terry 66.2% 33.8% -
Margin 70.2% 29.8% -4.7 (9.7 off)
Pythagorean 50.7% 49.3% -
Efficiency 80.2% 19.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 58.1% 41.9% -
Log Adjusted 58.2% 41.8% -

Actual: Ohio State Buckeyes +5 (71-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Keels * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 2 0 2 9 15 -
J. Roach * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 9 14 -
P. Banchero * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 3 14 18 -
W. Moore Jr. * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 5 2 0 1 17 31 -
M. Williams * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 2 1 8 16 -
J. Baker 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 5 7 -
T. John 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 4 8 -
AJ Griffin 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E.J. Liddell * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 14 6 0 3 4 14 33 -
J. Ahrens * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 1 0 7 15 -
J. Wheeler * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 5 7 8 -
Z. Key * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 20 24 -
M. Branham * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 8 9 -
K. Young 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 0 3 10 -
M. Johnson 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 2 -
C. Russell 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 12 15 -
J. Sotos 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Brunk 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter