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Duke

Also known as: Duke Blue Devils, Duke
Program History

2018 Team Stats (31 games)

83.3
PPG
68.4
Opp
+15.3
Margin
49.1%
FG%
37.7%
3P%
71.7%
FT%
40.7
RPG
17.2
APG
12.7
TO
82.7
Pace

Model Outputs

2017-2018
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1770 (#8) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1636 (#3) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +44.5 (#3) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.875 (#6) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +10.9 More → 0.773 (#5) NetEff +10.9
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +23.0 More → 0.935 (#3) AdjNet +23.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +23.2 More → 0.936 (#3) AdjNet +23.2

2018 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2017-11-10 vs Elon Phoenix W 97 - 68
2017-11-11 vs Utah Valley Wolverines W 99 - 69
2017-11-17 vs Southern Jaguars W 78 - 61
2017-11-23 vs Portland State Vikings W 99 - 81
2017-12-02 vs South Dakota Coyotes W 96 - 80
2017-12-05 vs Saint Francis Red Flash W 124 - 67
2017-12-09 @ Boston College Eagles L 84 - 89
2017-12-20 vs Evansville Purple Aces W 104 - 40
2017-12-30 vs Florida State Seminoles W 100 - 93
2018-01-06 @ NC State Wolfpack L 85 - 96
2018-01-10 @ Pittsburgh Panthers W 87 - 52
2018-01-13 vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 89 - 71
2018-01-15 @ Miami Hurricanes W 83 - 75
2018-01-20 vs Pittsburgh Panthers W 81 - 54
2018-01-23 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 84 - 70
2018-01-27 vs Virginia Cavaliers L 63 - 65
2018-01-29 vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish W 88 - 66
2018-02-03 @ St. John's Red Storm L 77 - 81
2018-02-08 @ North Carolina Tar Heels L 78 - 82
2018-02-11 @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets W 80 - 69
2018-02-14 vs Virginia Tech Hokies W 74 - 52
2018-02-18 @ Clemson Tigers W 66 - 57
2018-02-21 vs Louisville Cardinals W 82 - 56
2018-02-24 vs Syracuse Orange W 60 - 44
2018-02-26 @ Virginia Tech Hokies L 63 - 64
2018-03-03 vs North Carolina Tar Heels W 74 - 64
2018-03-08 vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish W 88 - 70
2018-03-09 vs North Carolina Tar Heels L 69 - 74
2018-03-15 vs Iona Gaels W 89 - 67
2018-03-17 vs Rhode Island Rams W 87 - 62
2018-03-23 vs Syracuse Orange W 69 - 65
2018-03-25 @ Kansas Jayhawks L 81 - 85

2018 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
M. Bagley III M. Bagley III - 28 34.4 20.7 11.1 1.5 0.8 0.9 2.3 12.5 20.3 9 0.8 1.4 61.6 42.6 60.5 0.83 68.2 64.5
G. Allen G. Allen - 32 35.8 15.1 3.4 4.6 1.8 0.1 2.2 11.1 11.7 - - - 40.7 34.6 83.0 - 59.9 52.0
G. Trent Jr. G. Trent Jr. - 32 33.9 15.0 4.3 1.3 1.2 0.1 1.1 11.3 9.5 -28 -2.8 -7.3 42.3 42.1 85.0 -0.02 60.3 54.4
W. Carter Jr. W. Carter Jr. - 32 26.9 13.7 8.9 2.1 0.8 2.2 2.0 8.5 17.1 110 7.9 15.0 55.5 41.3 77.1 2.08 65.5 59.0
T. Duval T. Duval G 32 29.0 9.8 2.0 5.5 1.3 0.1 2.8 8.7 7.2 - - - 42.6 33.3 62.7 - 51.4 47.8
J. Tucker J. Tucker - 1 8.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 3.0 - - - 66.7 100.0 50.0 - 77.3 83.3
M. Bolden M. Bolden - 24 13.3 4.3 3.9 0.6 0.3 1.1 0.7 2.9 6.6 - - - 65.2 0 61.9 - 65.8 65.2
J. DeLaurier J. DeLaurier F 28 12.5 3.3 3.9 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.7 1.8 6.0 - - - 64.7 16.7 57.6 - 70.2 65.7
A. O'Connell A. O'Connell - 31 10.1 3.3 1.3 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.5 2.4 2.8 - - - 43.8 43.6 82.4 - 64.0 55.5
J. Robinson J. Robinson F 16 5.1 1.4 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.6 0.3 1.2 1.3 9 1.0 2.3 42.1 35.3 25.0 0.45 55.4 57.9
J. Goldwire J. Goldwire G 23 6.2 1.0 0.4 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.4 - - - 36.4 26.7 100.0 - 48.1 45.5
A. Vrankovic A. Vrankovic C 12 4.8 0.9 1.2 0.4 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.7 - - - 50.0 0 0 - 68.8 50.0
J. White J. White - 26 6.0 0.8 1.6 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.8 2.2 27 3.9 9.8 45.0 20.0 100.0 0.72 52.7 50.0
M. Buckmire M. Buckmire G 4 1.2 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 - - - 50.0 0 100.0 - 61.5 50.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG