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2018-01-15

Model Predictions

Model Duke Blue Devils Miami Hurricanes Spread Result
Elo 86.5% 13.5% -
Bradley-Terry 69.1% 30.9% -
Margin 80.9% 19.1% -7.9 (0.1 off)
Pythagorean 57.6% 42.4% -
Efficiency 88.5% 11.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 84.6% 15.4% -
Log Adjusted 84.7% 15.3% -

Actual: Miami Hurricanes -8 (75-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Trent Jr. * 39 9-14 6-9 6-8 5 1 0 1 4 30 19 -
G. Allen * 38 2-9 1-6 0-0 4 3 5 0 4 5 4 -
M. Bagley III * 37 5-10 0-0 3-7 12 3 0 0 1 13 17 -
W. Carter Jr. * 34 7-11 1-3 0-2 14 3 2 4 3 15 24 -
T. Duval * 30 7-11 2-2 1-4 5 8 1 0 5 17 15 -
A. O'Connell 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Robinson 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
J. Goldwire 3 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
J. White 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Miami Hurricanes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Lawrence II * 36 5-9 3-5 0-0 7 1 5 2 2 13 17 -
L. Walker IV * 33 6-17 5-8 2-2 2 2 4 0 0 19 10 -
D. Hernandez * 32 8-16 0-1 2-3 13 1 0 0 3 18 13 -
B. Brown * 32 3-12 0-2 1-1 7 2 2 0 3 7 3 -
J. Newton * 22 1-4 0-0 1-2 1 2 2 0 1 3 3 -
C. Lykes 27 5-13 1-6 2-2 1 2 0 0 1 13 2 -
E. Izundu 12 1-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
D. Vasiljevic 6 0-3 0-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter