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2018-01-10

Model Predictions

Model Duke Blue Devils Pittsburgh Panthers Spread Result
Elo 84.6% 15.4% -
Bradley-Terry 81.7% 18.3% -
Margin 86.1% 13.9% -10.0 (25.0 off)
Pythagorean 95.7% 4.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 96.8% 3.2% -
Log Adjusted 96.8% 3.2% -

Actual: Pittsburgh Panthers -35 (52-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Trent Jr. * 30 6-10 2-5 0-0 4 5 2 0 1 14 14 -
G. Allen * 29 4-12 2-9 1-2 4 4 1 0 0 11 8 -
M. Bagley III * 29 7-16 0-1 2-8 15 1 1 0 4 16 13 -
T. Duval * 26 5-8 3-5 1-3 1 3 3 0 1 14 12 -
W. Carter Jr. * 16 4-6 0-1 2-2 7 3 1 1 0 10 16 -
J. Robinson 18 3-5 3-5 1-2 2 0 0 3 0 10 10 -
J. Goldwire 16 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 2 5 -
A. O'Connell 16 3-3 2-2 0-1 2 0 0 0 0 8 7 -
J. White 13 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 2 2 1 0 0 6 -
A. Vrankovic 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 1 -

Pittsburgh Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Carr * 33 1-8 0-3 1-2 4 3 3 0 4 3 1 -
P. Stewart * 31 3-11 1-5 3-3 4 1 0 0 0 10 4 -
S. Stevenson * 28 2-5 0-0 4-6 4 0 0 0 4 8 3 -
K. Davis * 15 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
P. Ilegomah * 6 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
J. Wilson-Frame 30 7-17 1-9 2-2 2 2 0 0 3 17 1 -
K. Chukwuka 23 3-3 2-2 0-1 4 1 0 1 1 8 10 -
T. Brown 15 0-2 0-1 3-4 4 0 0 4 1 3 8 -
J. Milligan 10 0-1 0-0 0-2 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. George 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
Z. Smith 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter