Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.1% | 80.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.3% | 91.7% | +13.2 | ✓ (12.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.4% | 89.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.1% | 89.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +26 (82-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raymond Spalding * | 34 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Quentin Snider * | 34 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Deng Adel * | 33 | 4-13 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | -1 | - |
| V.J. King * | 25 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Anas Mahmoud * | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Ryan McMahon | 17 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Dwayne Sutton | 12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Darius Perry | 11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Malik Williams | 8 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jordan Nwora | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grayson Allen * | 37 | 10-20 | 6-15 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 11 | - |
| G. Trent Jr. * | 35 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Trevon Duval * | 33 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| W. Carter Jr. * | 30 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 5-5 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 23 | - |
| Javin DeLaurier * | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Marques Bolden | 16 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Jack White | 15 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Alex O'Connell | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Justin Robinson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jordan Goldwire | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Antonio Vrankovic | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter