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2018-02-21

Model Predictions

Model Louisville Cardinals Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 10.2% 89.8% -
Bradley-Terry 26.6% 73.4% -
Margin 6.3% 93.7% +14.9 (11.1 off)
Pythagorean 22.3% 77.7% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 2.5% 97.5% -
Log Adjusted 2.4% 97.6% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +26 (82-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Spalding * 34 8-14 0-0 1-3 10 1 0 0 2 17 12 -
Q. Snider * 34 2-6 2-4 0-0 4 4 1 0 1 6 8 -
D. Adel * 33 4-13 1-5 1-1 5 1 0 0 4 10 -1 -
V.J. King * 25 4-11 0-3 2-2 2 1 1 1 1 10 3 -
A. Mahmoud * 23 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 2 1 2 6 -
R. McMahon 17 1-5 1-5 0-0 1 2 1 0 4 3 -2 -
D. Sutton 12 2-5 0-0 1-1 4 1 2 1 1 5 7 -
D. Perry 11 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 3 2 -
M. Williams 8 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 1 0 0 -1 -
J. Nwora 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Allen * 37 10-20 6-15 2-2 2 3 2 0 4 28 11 -
G. Trent Jr. * 35 3-8 1-4 4-4 3 0 1 0 2 11 5 -
T. Duval * 33 2-9 1-4 1-2 6 4 5 0 2 6 10 -
W. Carter Jr. * 30 6-10 1-1 5-5 9 6 0 3 3 18 23 -
J. DeLaurier * 19 2-3 0-0 1-1 8 1 1 1 3 5 10 -
M. Bolden 16 4-5 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 1 8 8 -
J. White 15 2-4 0-1 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 4 5 -
A. O'Connell 7 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 2 1 0 0 2 6 -
J. Robinson 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Goldwire 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Vrankovic 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter