Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.2% | 89.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.6% | 73.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.3% | 93.7% | +14.9 | ✓ (11.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 22.3% | 77.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.5% | 97.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.4% | 97.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +26 (82-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Spalding * | 34 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Q. Snider * | 34 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| D. Adel * | 33 | 4-13 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | -1 | - |
| V.J. King * | 25 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| A. Mahmoud * | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| R. McMahon | 17 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -2 | - |
| D. Sutton | 12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| D. Perry | 11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| M. Williams | 8 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Nwora | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Allen * | 37 | 10-20 | 6-15 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 11 | - |
| G. Trent Jr. * | 35 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| T. Duval * | 33 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| W. Carter Jr. * | 30 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 5-5 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 23 | - |
| J. DeLaurier * | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | - |
| M. Bolden | 16 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| J. White | 15 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| A. O'Connell | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| J. Robinson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Goldwire | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Vrankovic | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter