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2018-02-14

Model Predictions

Model Virginia Tech Hokies Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 9.6% 90.4% -
Bradley-Terry 24.1% 75.9% -
Margin 9.6% 90.4% +12.4 (9.6 off)
Pythagorean 25.3% 74.7% -
Efficiency 3.0% 97.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 9.0% 91.0% -
Log Adjusted 8.9% 91.1% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +22 (74-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Virginia Tech Hokies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Alexander-Walker * 33 2-7 2-5 0-0 3 2 4 0 2 6 6 -
J. Bibbs * 31 6-7 3-4 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 15 9 -
K. Blackshear Jr. * 28 3-9 0-1 3-4 4 1 0 1 2 9 4 -
J. Robinson * 27 2-10 1-7 0-0 3 5 0 0 1 5 2 -
D. Wilson * 20 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 2 6 -
C. Clarke 26 3-8 1-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 7 0 -
A. Hill 23 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 -2 -
P.J. Horne 9 3-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 6 6 -
T. Jackson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Allen * 38 9-17 7-15 0-0 3 6 2 0 2 25 17 -
G. Trent Jr. * 37 6-11 5-9 2-2 5 1 3 0 1 19 16 -
T. Duval * 33 3-10 2-6 2-2 3 3 1 0 4 10 3 -
W. Carter Jr. * 31 5-9 1-2 2-4 13 4 0 2 4 13 19 -
M. Bolden * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 2 0 0 4 -
J. DeLaurier 24 3-3 0-0 1-2 4 0 1 0 0 7 9 -
J. White 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 1 -
A. Vrankovic 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
A. O'Connell 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Robinson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Buckmire 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter