Model Predictions
| Model | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.1% | 95.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.2% | 94.8% | +16.0 | ✓ (6.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 21.8% | 78.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.2% | 98.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.7% | 96.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.7% | 96.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +22 (88-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Gibbs * | 39 | 6-16 | 1-6 | 9-10 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 13 | - |
| R. Pflueger * | 38 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 4 | - |
| N. Djogo * | 30 | 4-12 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| M. Geben * | 27 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | - |
| J. Mooney * | 25 | 5-9 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - |
| E. Burns | 19 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| A. Torres | 18 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| M. Gregory | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Nelligan | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Allen * | 37 | 7-12 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 15 | - |
| M. Bagley III * | 34 | 4-14 | 1-2 | 3-6 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| G. Trent Jr. * | 34 | 8-16 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 15 | - |
| W. Carter Jr. * | 26 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 15 | - |
| T. Duval * | 25 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| J. White | 14 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| M. Bolden | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| J. DeLaurier | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| A. O'Connell | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Goldwire | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Robinson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter