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2018-03-25

Model Predictions

Model Duke Blue Devils Kansas Jayhawks Spread Result
Elo 98.8% 1.2% -
Bradley-Terry 97.7% 2.3% -
Margin 54.9% 45.1% -1.1 (5.1 off)
Pythagorean 55.3% 44.7% -
Efficiency 61.5% 38.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 72.5% 27.5% -
Log Adjusted 72.7% 27.3% -

Actual: Kansas Jayhawks +4 (85-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Allen * 45 3-13 2-9 4-4 4 4 4 0 1 12 10 -
G. Trent Jr. * 44 7-18 2-10 1-1 3 0 1 1 0 17 4 -
M. Bagley III * 44 5-9 1-1 5-8 10 2 0 0 2 16 17 -
T. Duval * 43 9-16 2-6 0-0 1 6 2 0 4 20 9 -
W. Carter Jr. * 22 3-9 0-3 4-5 2 1 2 1 2 10 5 -
J. DeLaurier 13 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 4 3 -
M. Bolden 12 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 2 1 -
A. O'Connell 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Kansas Jayhawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Graham * 45 4-10 3-8 0-1 6 6 0 0 2 11 11 -
M. Newman * 44 8-19 5-12 11-12 7 2 3 0 1 32 24 -
S. Mykhailiuk * 42 4-10 3-9 0-0 10 5 1 1 4 11 14 -
L. Vick * 41 6-16 2-7 0-0 3 2 0 1 5 14 -1 -
U. Azubuike * 19 4-6 0-0 1-2 8 2 1 0 1 9 13 -
S. De Sousa 26 2-3 0-0 0-0 10 1 0 1 3 4 10 -
M. Garrett 8 2-5 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 4 2 -

* = starter