Model Predictions
| Model | Elon Phoenix | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 1.9% | 98.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 7.6% | 92.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.3% | 99.7% | +31.7 | ✓ (2.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 6.1% | 93.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +29 (97-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Elon Phoenix
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dainan Swoope * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Tyler Seibring * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 20 | - |
| Dmitri Thompson * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 20 | - |
| Brian Dawkins * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Steve Santa Ana * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Sheldon Eberhardt | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 16 | - |
| Karolis Kundrotas | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Seth Fuller | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Simon Wright | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jack Anton | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Collin Luther | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grayson Allen * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 29 | - |
| M. Bagley III * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 33 | - |
| G. Trent Jr. * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 26 | - |
| Trevon Duval * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 19 | - |
| W. Carter Jr. * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 16 | - |
| Javin DeLaurier | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 21 | - |
| Jordan Goldwire | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Alex O'Connell | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Antonio Vrankovic | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Jack White | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Justin Robinson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter