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2018-01-20

Model Predictions

Model Pittsburgh Panthers Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 8.4% 91.6% -
Bradley-Terry 11.2% 88.8% -
Margin 5.5% 94.5% +15.6 (11.4 off)
Pythagorean 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +27 (81-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Pittsburgh Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Stewart * 32 6-10 3-6 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 15 7 -
M. Carr * 31 5-13 0-3 2-2 3 2 0 0 1 12 3 -
T. Brown * 26 1-4 0-1 2-4 6 0 1 2 0 4 9 -
K. Chukwuka * 26 0-3 0-1 0-0 8 0 2 0 2 0 5 -
K. Davis * 17 2-5 1-3 0-0 0 1 0 1 0 5 2 -
J. Wilson-Frame 19 2-3 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 4 1 -
S. Stevenson 17 1-1 0-0 1-2 1 2 2 0 5 3 2 -
J. Milligan 12 3-4 0-0 3-4 1 0 1 0 1 9 6 -
M. Boykins 10 0-3 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -
S. George 6 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
P. Ilegomah 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Trent Jr. * 32 6-10 5-7 0-0 3 2 2 0 0 17 14 -
W. Carter Jr. * 30 9-10 1-1 2-3 8 2 2 3 3 21 23 -
M. Bagley III * 29 6-10 1-2 7-10 7 1 1 1 2 20 18 -
T. Duval * 27 2-4 1-2 0-0 3 4 1 0 4 5 5 -
G. Allen * 26 5-11 4-10 2-4 1 2 2 0 1 16 9 -
A. O'Connell 14 0-4 0-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 0 -3 -
J. Goldwire 13 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. DeLaurier 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 2 1 0 4 -
J. White 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 1 0 5 -
J. Robinson 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
A. Vrankovic 5 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 0 -

* = starter