Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.8% | 18.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 79.0% | 21.0% | -7.3 | ✗ (18.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 83.0% | 17.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.8% | 27.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.8% | 27.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack +11 (96-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Allen * | 39 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| M. Bagley III * | 38 | 11-14 | 0-1 | 9-11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 31 | 27 | - |
| G. Trent Jr. * | 38 | 4-14 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 4 | - |
| T. Duval * | 32 | 8-14 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 6 | - |
| W. Carter Jr. * | 29 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| J. DeLaurier | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| A. Vrankovic | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. O'Connell | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Goldwire | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. White | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Robinson | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Freeman * | 38 | 4-12 | 0-3 | 7-7 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 10 | - |
| B. Beverly * | 33 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 6-6 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 15 | - |
| O. Yurtseven * | 29 | 8-14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 13 | - |
| T. Dorn * | 22 | 6-11 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 12 | - |
| A. Abu * | 18 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| L. Freeman | 29 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| L. Batts Jr. | 19 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| S. Hunt | 12 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
* = starter