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2018-02-26

Model Predictions

Model Duke Blue Devils Virginia Tech Hokies Spread Result
Elo 82.5% 17.5% -
Bradley-Terry 64.0% 36.0% -
Margin 77.4% 22.6% -6.8 (7.8 off)
Pythagorean 68.7% 31.3% -
Efficiency 91.0% 9.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 85.0% 15.0% -
Log Adjusted 85.1% 14.9% -

Actual: Virginia Tech Hokies +1 (64-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Allen * 40 6-18 4-15 6-7 6 3 3 1 6 22 11 -
G. Trent Jr. * 37 1-7 1-7 2-3 2 1 0 0 3 5 -2 -
M. Bagley III * 36 5-9 0-0 2-2 7 1 0 0 0 12 11 -
W. Carter Jr. * 24 2-5 0-1 1-2 8 2 1 1 3 5 9 -
J. DeLaurier * 14 2-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 4 4 -
T. Duval 24 3-5 1-2 0-1 2 2 0 0 3 7 3 -
M. Bolden 14 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 4 0 1 0 2 8 -
A. O'Connell 7 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
J. White 4 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 3 3 -

Virginia Tech Hokies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Bibbs * 39 5-14 1-6 3-3 0 3 1 0 1 14 3 -
K. Blackshear Jr. * 37 4-7 0-1 5-6 6 0 1 2 4 13 11 -
N. Alexander-Walker * 35 7-14 3-8 0-0 1 0 2 0 1 17 5 -
J. Robinson * 30 2-8 1-6 6-8 2 5 0 0 2 11 8 -
D. Wilson * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 0 3 -
P.J. Horne 17 0-1 0-0 1-2 4 0 1 1 0 1 6 -
C. Clarke 16 4-5 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 3 8 7 -
A. Hill 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter