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Duke

Also known as: Duke Blue Devils, Duke
Program History

2016 Team Stats (27 games)

79.6
PPG
71.6
Opp
+7.9
Margin
46.0%
FG%
37.9%
3P%
72.8%
FT%
35.5
RPG
13.3
APG
10.0
TO
78.6
Pace

Model Outputs

2015-2016
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1803 (#8) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1664 (#3) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +43.6 (#3) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.642 (#20) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +5.6 More → 0.646 (#20) NetEff +5.6
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +13.5 More → 0.825 (#14) AdjNet +13.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +13.6 More → 0.827 (#14) AdjNet +13.6

2016 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2015-11-25 vs Yale Bulldogs W 80 - 61
2015-11-29 vs Utah State Aggies W 85 - 52
2015-12-05 vs Buffalo Bulls W 82 - 59
2015-12-15 vs Georgia Southern Eagles W 99 - 65
2015-12-19 vs Utah Utes L 75 - 77
2015-12-28 vs Elon Phoenix W 105 - 66
2015-12-30 vs Long Beach State Beach W 103 - 81
2016-01-02 @ Boston College Eagles W 81 - 64
2016-01-06 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 91 - 75
2016-01-09 vs Virginia Tech Hokies W 82 - 58
2016-01-13 @ Clemson Tigers L 63 - 68
2016-01-16 vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish L 91 - 95
2016-01-18 vs Syracuse Orange L 62 - 64
2016-01-23 @ NC State Wolfpack W 88 - 78
2016-01-25 @ Miami Hurricanes L 69 - 80
2016-02-08 vs Louisville Cardinals W 72 - 65
2016-02-13 vs Virginia Cavaliers W 63 - 62
2016-02-17 @ North Carolina Tar Heels W 74 - 73
2016-02-20 @ Louisville Cardinals L 64 - 71
2016-02-25 vs Florida State Seminoles W 80 - 65
2016-02-28 @ Pittsburgh Panthers L 62 - 76
2016-03-01 vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 79 - 71
2016-03-05 vs North Carolina Tar Heels L 72 - 76
2016-03-09 vs NC State Wolfpack W 92 - 89
2016-03-10 @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish L 79 - 84
2016-03-17 vs UNC Wilmington Seahawks W 93 - 85
2016-03-19 vs Yale Bulldogs W 71 - 64
2016-03-24 @ Oregon Ducks L 68 - 82

2016 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
G. Allen G. Allen - 28 37.0 20.9 4.6 3.6 1.4 0.1 2.0 13.8 14.9 51 1.6 2.1 46.0 38.7 82.1 1.68 62.0 54.1
B. Ingram B. Ingram - 28 36.8 18.5 7.4 2.1 1.2 1.4 2.1 13.6 14.8 93 3.6 3.6 45.9 42.9 68.8 1.66 59.3 54.6
L. Kennard L. Kennard - 28 28.4 12.6 3.9 1.7 1.0 0.2 0.9 9.5 8.9 65 2.6 3.0 41.7 33.1 86.1 1.66 59.1 50.0
A. Jefferson A. Jefferson F 3 27.3 11.7 9.7 0.7 1.0 1.3 1.3 6.3 16.7 - - - 78.9 0 55.6 0.13 76.2 78.9
M. Jones M. Jones G 27 31.5 9.8 2.5 2.1 1.0 0.2 1.1 7.5 6.9 41 2.2 2.3 40.9 40.3 71.8 1.45 60.0 53.7
M. Plumlee M. Plumlee C 28 31.6 8.9 8.7 1.0 0.8 1.6 1.1 4.5 15.3 86 3.7 4.2 68.5 0 61.5 1.65 69.8 68.5
D. Thornton D. Thornton G 28 25.8 6.1 1.8 2.6 0.7 0.3 1.5 6.0 4.0 43 2.0 2.8 37.7 30.6 65.5 1.36 47.8 43.4
C. Jeter C. Jeter C 26 7.9 1.7 1.8 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.0 2.4 50 4.5 7.5 55.6 0 56.0 0.93 57.9 55.6
S. Obi S. Obi C 9 2.7 0.4 1.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 1.2 - - - 50.0 0 50.0 -0.1 53.2 50.0
N. Pagliuca N. Pagliuca G 8 1.1 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
A. Vrankovic A. Vrankovic C 2 4.0 0.0 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
B. Besser B. Besser G 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG