Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Oregon Ducks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 87.3% | 12.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 69.6% | 30.4% | -4.6 | ✗ (18.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oregon Ducks +14 (82-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Allen * | 40 | 4-13 | 2-6 | 5-7 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 11 | - |
| B. Ingram * | 40 | 9-20 | 2-7 | 4-6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 13 | - |
| L. Kennard * | 32 | 6-12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 15 | - |
| M. Plumlee * | 30 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | +1.8 |
| M. Jones * | 26 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| D. Thornton | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | -1.1 |
| C. Jeter | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Oregon Ducks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Brooks * | 38 | 9-19 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 13 | - |
| E. Cook * | 38 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 16 | - |
| C. Benson * | 35 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 16 | -0.0 |
| T. Dorsey * | 33 | 2-9 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| C. Boucher * | 18 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 2-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| J. Bell | 26 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 15 | +3.6 |
| D. Benjamin | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +3.5 |
| K. Small | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter