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2016-01-06

Model Predictions

Model Duke Blue Devils Wake Forest Demon Deacons Spread Result
Elo 83.0% 17.0% -
Bradley-Terry 76.1% 23.9% -
Margin 80.9% 19.1% -7.9 (8.1 off)
Pythagorean 74.6% 25.4% -
Efficiency 92.4% 7.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 84.0% 16.0% -
Log Adjusted 84.1% 15.9% -

Actual: Wake Forest Demon Deacons -16 (75-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Ingram * 39 5-13 2-5 5-6 5 3 3 4 1 17 18 -
M. Plumlee * 34 7-7 0-0 4-4 7 1 0 2 0 18 21 +13.6
G. Allen * 32 7-10 3-4 7-8 3 3 2 1 1 24 22 -
D. Thornton * 29 3-9 1-1 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 7 2 +13.1
M. Jones * 26 1-8 0-6 0-0 3 1 1 1 1 2 -1 -
L. Kennard 32 7-11 0-1 9-9 5 3 1 0 1 23 20 -
C. Jeter 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Obi 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Miller-McIntyre * 37 9-19 0-1 2-3 7 3 0 0 2 20 9 -
D. Thomas * 27 9-11 0-0 3-6 12 3 0 1 2 21 24 -9.0
B. Crawford * 25 0-6 0-1 1-2 2 2 1 0 3 1 -3 -10.7
M. Wilbekin * 24 0-5 0-5 0-0 0 1 2 0 0 0 -2 -
D. Mitoglou * 15 2-3 1-2 2-2 2 1 0 0 2 7 5 -
C. Hudson 27 4-8 3-6 1-1 0 2 1 0 2 12 5 +1.3
J. Collins 20 4-9 0-0 3-6 7 0 0 2 0 11 11 -
R. Watson 19 1-4 1-3 0-0 3 3 1 0 1 3 5 -
G. McClinton 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. VanHorn 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter