Model Predictions
| Model | Buffalo Bulls | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 1.8% | 98.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.9% | 87.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.6% | 98.4% | +22.6 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +23 (82-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Buffalo Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Conner * | 28 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -4.4 |
| J. Skeete * | 27 | 2-12 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -2 | -5.3 |
| L. Bearden * | 25 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | -0.9 |
| I. Smart * | 24 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | -1.6 |
| R. Wigginton * | 18 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -6.3 |
| B. Hamilton | 26 | 1-11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -7 | - |
| C. Massinburg | 21 | 8-12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 11 | -5.3 |
| N. Perkins | 18 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 4 | -4.3 |
| N. Rakicevic | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Z. DiSalvo | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Pino | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Ingram * | 38 | 8-15 | 2-4 | 5-7 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 19 | - |
| G. Allen * | 36 | 5-15 | 1-3 | 11-13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 18 | - |
| M. Jones * | 32 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| A. Jefferson * | 28 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 16 | +6.6 |
| M. Plumlee * | 23 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - |
| D. Thornton | 24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| L. Kennard | 15 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| C. Jeter | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| N. Pagliuca | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter